The figure above gives an example of how we use behavioural experiments to test theories of decision-making, and how this is combined with neuroimaging data which can be used to test the same theories, generating anatomical maps of hidden computational variables. This example here is for a project entitled "The ergodicity experiment".
There are two strands to the group’s research agenda:
The first strand asks how do reward computations shape behaviour to regulate our physiology. Specifically, how are the values of primary rewards such as food and water configured by homeostatic states, and how should they be configured according to the constraints of survival. We are particularly interested in how models of this sort could provide a unified explanatory account of basic behavioural phenomena such as risk preferences, loss aversion, and temporal discounting. This work involves collaboration with endocrinologists, metabolic scientists, food scientists, and computational neuroscientists.
The second strand draws on a concept in physics known as ergodicity, and is the basis of the group’s connection to the London Mathematical Laboratory. Ergodicity here refers to thinking carefully about the types of averages that are relevant to behaviour, with a particular emphasis onhow decisions unfold over time. We are interested in the constraints that ergodicity imposes on decision-making, and whether such considerations can also offer a unified account of a number of disparate behavioral phenomena. We recently received funding from the Novo Nordisk Fonden to work together on experiments that expose subjects to different dynamical settings, testing how these dynamics modulate reward computations, and risk-taking behavior.
The group is committed to open science, and all future experiments will pre-register and release all code, materials, and data wherever possible. We also teach courses on the methods most central to our research, namely Bayesian statistics, as well as Bayesian modelling of cognition and the brain.
STUDENTS
We are always interested to hear from students with a quantitative training – physics, mathematics, computational biology, computational neuroscience, and related fields. If you are interested to work in the group please email with a brief explanation of your interests and situation. We recommend reading the work of the group and thinking carefully about what specifically you would like to do.
NEWS
2022: Ollie Hulme will be giving a talk at the Ergodicity Economics conference in January 2022, on “Ergodicity and the brain” :
2021: Former group member and close collaborator David Meder won a prestigous Saperre Aude fellowship to work on computational models of reward and Parkinson’s disease.
2021: Ollie Hulme will be giving a lecture at this year’s Nudgestock – summer 2021 https://www.nudgestock.co.uk/
2021: We recently received an Interdisciplinary Exploratory Synergy grant from the Novo Nordisk foundation, total 5million Kr. The project involves a collaboration between the reward group at DRCMR, and the London Mathematical Laboratory.
2020: Ollie Hulme and David Meder received honorary fellowships at the Max-Planck-UCL centre for Computational Psychiatry and Aging.
2020-2021: Ollie Hulme was made an external fellow at the London Mathematical Laboratory.
VIDEO TALKS & SOCIAL MEDIA
Recent talks by the group are available at this Youtube channel:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCEKr1X0owzn7zOjhPnt_OZQ
Here is an accessible and short introduction to our work on ergodicity:
https://www.youtube.com/embed/XoCogIcEhi0
Occasionally research updates and announcements will be posted on twitter: @hulme_oliver
RELATED WORKS
Recent papers, blogposts, media, replications, critiques, and other related links discussing our research:
Best of nudgestock 2021: https://youtu.be/zaSz6mZe9lA
Ole Peters in Nature Physics 2019 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-019-0732-0
Reply to Peters by Doctor, Wakker & Wang 2020 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-020-01108-9
Adam Goldstein 2020: https://researchers.one/articles/20.02.00002
Adam Goldstein 2020: //medium.com/@aa_goldstein/multi-period-expected-utility-theory-predicts-zero-risk-aversion-in-copenhagen-experiment-same-as-60637aa28761>">https://medium.com/@aa_goldstein/multi-period-expected-utility-theory-predicts-zero-risk-aversion-in-copenhagen-experiment-same-as-60637aa28761
Jason Collins: https://jasoncollins.blog/risk-and-loss-aversion-in-ergodicity-economics/
Brandon Kochkodin: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-12-11/everything-we-ve-learned-about-modern-economic-theory-is-wrong